akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Tennessee

Tennessee 2nd Congressional District moved 5 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

One of the most reliably Republican congressional districts in the South

20082024·5 elections
TN
LatestR+34in 2024
TypologyIndustrial Catholic Metrocluster typology
Population798,2762024 ACS

Tennessee 2nd Congressional District: Industrial Catholic Metro district. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+37 in 2012.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+34MIT Election Lab
Political typology
Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
Population
798,2762024 5-year
Median household income
$72,6792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.2%2024 5-year
Black
5.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 2012MIT Election Lab
DW-NOMINATE
Member ideology
R
BURCHETT, TimothyCongress 119 · Republican
DW-NOMINATE first-dimension (economic) score0.67 sits at approximately the 83rd percentile.00.67−1 liberal+1 conservative
BURCHETT scores 0.67 on the first NOMINATE dimension (−1 most liberal, +1 most conservative).

Predecessors: DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2017–2019), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2015–2017), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2013–2015), DUNCAN, John J., Jr. (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Congressional District 2
TrumpR+34
2024 presidential margin by county for Congressional District 2, TNA map of the constituent counties of Congressional District 2, TN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic).Claiborne County, TN · R+70Grainger County, TN · R+74Loudon County, TN · R+53Union County, TN · R+71Blount County, TN · R+48Jefferson County, TN · R+64Campbell County, TN · R+70Knox County, TN · R+19
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican66.2%242,934
Kamala HarrisDemocratic32.4%118,778
OtherAll other candidates1.4%5,046
D+60
R+60
8 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
Districts are drawn from fractional county slices; this map shows the whole counties that overlap the district. District boundaries: TIGER 2024.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −33.9% in 2024.−33.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−29.3%
2012−37.1%
2016−35.2%
2020−29.2%
2024−33.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−33.9%
118,778242,934366,758
R
−29.2%
122,694226,764356,228
R
−35.2%
85,248186,886288,668
R
−37.1%
84,467184,040268,507
R
−29.3%
100,787186,411292,440

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R34.2%63.8%3,007,608
2020R35.2%62.2%2,959,761
2018R43.9%54.7%2,243,740
2014R31.9%61.9%1,374,065
2012R30.4%64.9%2,321,477
2008R31.6%65.1%2,424,585
2006R48.0%50.7%1,833,695
2002R44.3%54.3%1,642,432
2000R32.2%65.1%1,928,613
1996R36.8%61.4%1,778,664
1994R42.1%56.4%1,480,391
1990D67.7%29.8%783,922
1988D65.1%34.5%1,567,181
1984D60.7%33.8%1,648,036
1982D61.9%38.1%1,259,785
1978R40.3%55.5%1,157,094
1976D52.5%47.0%1,432,046

Demographics

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.7%
American
11.8%
German
10.9%
Irish
10.4%
Scottish
2.7%
Italian
2.5%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.1%
speak English only
Spanish4.0%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
26.5%
Other Christian
11.8%
Methodist
6.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tennessee's 2nd district, anchored by Knoxville and the surrounding Ridge-and-Valley region, has backed Republican presidential candidates by margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, making it one of the more lopsided districts in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of thirty-seven points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-four points.

A population of 798,276, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,679 describe the district.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4702/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Tennessee voted Republican by 33.9 points (R+34), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 366,758 votes cast, 118,778 went Democratic and 242,934 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Tennessee's political typology?
Akashic places Congressional District 2, Tennessee in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Tennessee?
Congressional District 2, Tennessee has a population of 798,276 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Tennessee?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Tennessee is $72,679 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Tennessee from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The district's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.