El Sobrante CDP, California
Safe Democratic — shifted 9.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 16K residents
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 31.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 29.9% |
Black / African American | 11.7% |
Asian | 18.8% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.7% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+49.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+58.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+59.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+60.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+58.8 |
El Sobrante CDP, California is a city that has a population of 15,524. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+49.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 72.5% | 23.5% | D+49.1 | R+9.7 |
| 2020 | 78.3% | 19.5% | D+58.8 | R+0.5 |
| 2016 | 76.6% | 17.3% | D+59.3 | R+0.7 |
| 2012 | 80.0% | 20.0% | D+60.0 | D+1.1 |
| 2008 | 79.3% | 20.4% | D+58.8 | — |
What defines El Sobrante CDP?
El Sobrante CDP has been trending Republican — 11pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 49.1% margin
- Shifted 10.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | El Sobrante CDP | National |
|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 31.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 29.9% | 19.3% |
Asian | 18.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 11.7% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.7% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Who lives in El Sobrante CDP? 15,524 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.