Fresno City, California
Incorporated place · Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 12.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 542K residents
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 23.9% |
Hispanic / Latino | 50.5% |
Black / African American | 7.6% |
Asian | 14.7% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.4% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.7% |
Key demographics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+8.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+21.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+19.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.3 |
Fresno City, California is a city that has a population of 542,107. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.7% | 44.5% | D+8.2 | R+12.9 |
| 2020 | 59.5% | 38.4% | D+21.1 | D+1.3 |
| 2016 | 57.2% | 37.4% | D+19.8 | D+5.5 |
| 2012 | 57.2% | 42.8% | D+14.4 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 56.9% | 42.6% | D+14.3 | — |
What defines Fresno City?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Similar cities
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Merced City
Educated urban democratic
Bakersfield City
Educated urban democratic
Modesto City
Educated urban democratic
Highland City
Educated urban democratic
Chino City
Educated urban democratic
Manteca City
Educated urban democratic
Stockton City
Educated urban democratic
Victorville City
Educated urban democratic
Located In
Fresno City sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Ask the Historian
Explore Fresno City's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 12.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Turnout decreased by 6.1 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Fresno City | National |
|---|---|---|
Hispanic / Latino | 50.5% | 19.3% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 23.9% | 57.4% |
Asian | 14.7% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 7.6% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.7% | 4.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Who lives in Fresno City? 542,107 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
542K
Share of U.S. population
0.16%
Voting-age population
72.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
N/A
Poverty rate
N/A
College degree
N/A
Homeownership
N/A
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
N/A
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
N/A
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in Fresno City
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
41.4%
-6.1pp
391,779
2008–2024
How competitive is Fresno City?
Safe DAvg margin: D+16.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+14.3
2012
D+14.4
2016
D+19.8
2020
D+21.1
2024
D+8.2
12.9pp
0
D+15.6
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