How did North Fair Oaks CDP, California vote in the 2024 presidential election?

North Fair Oaks CDP, California voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+58.5. Kamala D Harris received 3,034 votes and Donald Trump received 745 out of 3,915 total votes cast, a 10.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is North Fair Oaks CDP, California's political history?

North Fair Oaks CDP, California has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 10.8 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of North Fair Oaks CDP, California?

North Fair Oaks CDP, California has a population of 14,027 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 19.1% non-Hispanic white, 69.9% Hispanic, 1.2% Black.

Which places are most similar to North Fair Oaks CDP, California?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar citys to North Fair Oaks CDP, California are Sleepy Hollow Village, Ossining Village, Mount Kisco Village. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

What county and districts is North Fair Oaks CDP, California in?

North Fair Oaks CDP, California is located within the following geographies: State: California. Akashic Edge provides election data and demographic analysis for each of these containing areas.

North Fair Oaks CDP, California

Census Designated Place · Latest: 2024↓ R+10.8 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 10.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 14K residents

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
14K
PRES MARGIN
D+58.5
2024

Place Story

What defines North Fair Oaks CDP

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 2008
- Safe D
- 5 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Demographically distinctive: 70% Hispanic (+51pp vs national)
- 70% Hispanic (+51pp vs national)
- 19% non-Hispanic white (-38pp vs national)
Biggest swing: R+10.8 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.

Similarity Explorer

Similar cities

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Sleepy Hollow VillageNY

Educated urban democratic

D+43.9

Similarity score98%

Ossining VillageNY

Educated urban democratic

D+37.8

Similarity score98%

Mount Kisco VillageNY

Educated urban democratic

D+26.1

Similarity score98%

Peekskill CityNY

Educated urban democratic

D+40.2

Similarity score97%

Wheaton CDPMD

Educated urban democratic

D+53.1

Similarity score97%

North Plainfield BoroughNJ

Educated urban democratic

D+33.2

Similarity score97%

Cherryland CDPCA

Educated urban democratic

D+40.5

Similarity score96%

Hightstown BoroughNJ

Educated urban democratic

D+34.3

Similarity score96%

Containing Geography

Located In

North Fair Oaks CDP sits inside these higher-level geographies.

California(State)

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore North Fair Oaks CDP's political evolution with the Historian

“How has North Fair Oaks CDP, California voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

North Fair Oaks CDPCensus ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 69.9%White (Non-Hispanic) 19.1%Asian 6.1%Native American 2.0%Black 1.2%Native Hawaiian 1.1%Multiracial 0.6%

Group	North Fair Oaks CDP	National
Hispanic / Latino	69.9%	19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)	19.1%	57.4%
Asian	6.1%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	2.0%	0.9%
Black / African American	1.2%	12.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	1.1%	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	0.6%	4.0%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in North Fair Oaks CDP? 14,027 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

North Fair Oaks CDP vs National14K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

14K

local

14KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.00%

local

0.00%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.1%

local

76.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in North Fair Oaks CDP

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

36.7%

vs Previous

-6.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

10,668

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is North Fair Oaks CDP?

Safe DAvg margin: D+65.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+62.8

2012

D+65.4

2016

D+68.6

2020

D+69.3

2024

D+58.5

Elasticity

10.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+64.9

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