How did Spring Valley CDP, California vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Spring Valley CDP, California voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+5.5. Kamala D Harris received 6,697 votes and Donald Trump received 5,980 out of 13,029 total votes cast, a 8.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Spring Valley CDP, California's political history?

Spring Valley CDP, California has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 8.2 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of Spring Valley CDP, California?

Spring Valley CDP, California has a population of 30,998 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 36.4% non-Hispanic white, 40.4% Hispanic, 10.4% Black.

Which places are most similar to Spring Valley CDP, California?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar citys to Spring Valley CDP, California are Vista City, Lemon Grove City, La Presa CDP. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

What county and districts is Spring Valley CDP, California in?

Spring Valley CDP, California is located within the following geographies: State: California. Akashic Edge provides election data and demographic analysis for each of these containing areas.

Spring Valley CDP, California

Census Designated Place · Latest: 2024↓ R+8.2 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 8.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31K residents

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
31K
PRES MARGIN
D+5.5
2024

Place Story

What defines Spring Valley CDP

Methodology

Leans Democratic since 2008
- Lean D
- 5 straight D wins
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Demographically distinctive: 40% Hispanic (+21pp vs national)
- 40% Hispanic (+21pp vs national)
- 36% non-Hispanic white (-21pp vs national)
Biggest swing: R+8.2 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024

Similarity Explorer

Similar cities

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Vista CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+10.4

Similarity score98%

Lemon Grove CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+21.4

Similarity score98%

La Presa CDPCA

Educated urban democratic

D+15.1

Similarity score98%

Escondido CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+7.3

Similarity score97%

San Marcos CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+13.0

Similarity score97%

La Habra CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+4.2

Similarity score97%

Imperial Beach CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+5.1

Similarity score96%

Bonita CDPCA

Educated urban democratic

D+7.2

Similarity score96%

Containing Geography

Located In

Spring Valley CDP sits inside these higher-level geographies.

California(State)

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Spring Valley CDP's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Spring Valley CDP, California voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Spring Valley CDPCensus ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 40.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 36.4%Black 10.4%Asian 6.8%Multiracial 4.0%Native American 1.2%Native Hawaiian 0.8%

Group	Spring Valley CDP	National
Hispanic / Latino	40.4%	19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)	36.4%	57.4%
Black / African American	10.4%	12.2%
Asian	6.8%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	4.0%	4.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.2%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.8%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Spring Valley CDP? 30,998 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Spring Valley CDP vs National31K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

31K

local

31KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.6%

local

75.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Spring Valley CDP

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

55.6%

vs Previous

-4.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

23,426

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Spring Valley CDP?

Lean DAvg margin: D+9.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+5.8

2012

D+5.8

2016

D+9.0

2020

D+13.7

2024

D+5.5

Elasticity

8.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+8.0

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