
Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government (balance), Kentucky
Competitive — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 387K residents
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 64.9% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.2% |
Black / African American | 17.5% |
Asian | 3.5% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+0.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+3.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+4.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+3.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.2 |
Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government (balance), Kentucky is a city that has a population of 386,884. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.3% | 49.1% | D+0.2 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 50.9% | 47.3% | D+3.6 | D+7.7 |
| 2016 | 45.6% | 49.7% | R+4.2 | R+0.2 |
| 2012 | 48.0% | 52.0% | R+3.9 | R+0.7 |
| 2008 | 47.8% | 51.1% | R+3.2 | — |
What defines Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government (balance)?
Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government (balance) has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (2D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
- Margins have been narrowing — from 4.2pp to 0.2pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 64.9% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 17.5% | 12.2% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
Asian | 3.5% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government (balance)? 386,884 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.