Arnold CDP, Maryland
Leans Democratic — 24K residents
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 80.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 5.8% |
Black / African American | 4.7% |
Asian | 3.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+13.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+14.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.6 |
Arnold CDP, Maryland is a city that has a population of 24,064. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.5% | 41.7% | D+13.8 | R+0.3 |
| 2020 | 56.2% | 42.1% | D+14.1 | D+13.8 |
| 2016 | 45.4% | 45.1% | D+0.3 | D+7.6 |
| 2012 | 46.3% | 53.7% | R+7.3 | D+0.3 |
| 2008 | 45.3% | 52.9% | R+7.6 | — |
What defines Arnold CDP?
Arnold CDP has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (3D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
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Key Insights
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2012
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Arnold CDP | National |
|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 80.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 5.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Black / African American | 4.7% | 12.2% |
Asian | 3.3% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Arnold CDP? 24,064 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.