How did North Bay Shore CDP, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

North Bay Shore CDP, New York voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+25.1. Kamala D Harris received 2,973 votes and Donald Trump received 1,758 out of 4,846 total votes cast, a 26.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is North Bay Shore CDP, New York's political history?

North Bay Shore CDP, New York has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 26.1 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of North Bay Shore CDP, New York?

North Bay Shore CDP, New York has a population of 19,619 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 10.4% non-Hispanic white, 68.2% Hispanic, 14.9% Black.

Which places are most similar to North Bay Shore CDP, New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar citys to North Bay Shore CDP, New York are Brentwood CDP, Central Islip CDP, Inwood CDP. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

What county and districts is North Bay Shore CDP, New York in?

North Bay Shore CDP, New York is located within the following geographies: State: New York. Akashic Edge provides election data and demographic analysis for each of these containing areas.

North Bay Shore CDP, New York

Census Designated Place · Latest: 2024↓ R+26.1 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 26.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 20K residents

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

POPULATION
20K
PRES MARGIN
D+25.1
2024

Place Story

What defines North Bay Shore CDP

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 2008
- Safe D
- 5 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: R+26.1 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 68% Hispanic (+49pp vs national)
- 68% Hispanic (+49pp vs national)
- 10% non-Hispanic white (-47pp vs national)

Similarity Explorer

Similar cities

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Brentwood CDPNY

Diverse urban competitive 2

D+21.0

Similarity score100%

Central Islip CDPNY

Educated urban democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score99%

Inwood CDPNY

Educated urban democratic

D+3.2

Similarity score98%

Victory Gardens BoroughNJ

Diverse urban competitive 2

D+21.3

Similarity score98%

Dover TownNJ

Diverse urban competitive 2

D+13.5

Similarity score98%

Perth Amboy CityNJ

Diverse urban competitive 2

D+11.2

Similarity score97%

San Pablo CityCA

Educated urban democratic

D+51.1

Similarity score96%

Perris CityCA

Diverse urban competitive 2

D+18.8

Similarity score96%

Containing Geography

Located In

North Bay Shore CDP sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New York(State)

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore North Bay Shore CDP's political evolution with the Historian

“How has North Bay Shore CDP, New York voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

North Bay Shore CDPCensus ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 68.2%Black 14.9%White (Non-Hispanic) 10.4%Asian 4.8%Native American 1.5%

Group	North Bay Shore CDP	National
Hispanic / Latino	68.2%	19.3%
Black / African American	14.9%	12.2%
White (Non-Hispanic)	10.4%	57.4%
Asian	4.8%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.5%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.2%	4.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in North Bay Shore CDP? 19,619 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

North Bay Shore CDP vs National20K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

20K

local

20KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.5%

local

74.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/ANational 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in North Bay Shore CDP

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

33.2%

vs Previous

-1.7pp

Voting-Age Pop

14,617

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is North Bay Shore CDP?

Safe DAvg margin: D+45.6 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+62.2

2012

D+69.5

2016

D+60.4

2020

D+51.2

2024

D+25.1

Elasticity

44.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+53.7

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