Clay County, Alabama
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 78.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 12.8% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 53.7% | 78.2% |
| Black Protestant | 7.7% | 11.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.3% | 7.7% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 1.8% |
| Other | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 31.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+70.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+47.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.7 |
Clay, Alabama is a county that has a population of 14,192. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+70.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.7% | 84.7% | R+70.1 | R+7.5 |
| 2020 | 18.3% | 80.8% | R+62.5 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 18.8% | 79.8% | R+61.0 | R+15.4 |
| 2012 | 26.6% | 72.1% | R+45.5 | D+1.8 |
| 2008 | 25.8% | 73.1% | R+47.3 | R+5.8 |
| 2004 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.5 | R+13.1 |
| 2000 | 34.8% | 63.2% | R+28.4 | R+21.5 |
| 1996 | 41.4% | 48.4% | R+7.0 | D+6.7 |
| 1992 | 36.0% | 49.7% | R+13.7 | D+22.5 |
| 1988 | 30.6% | 66.7% | R+36.2 | D+3.1 |
| 1984 | 28.9% | 68.2% | R+39.3 | R+40.9 |
| 1980 | 49.7% | 48.1% | D+1.6 | R+20.2 |
| 1976 | 60.6% | 38.8% | D+21.9 | D+98.8 |
| 1972 | 11.3% | 88.2% | R+76.9 | R+144.6 |
| 1968 | 81.0% | 13.3% | D+67.7 | D+107.9 |
| 1964 | 29.9% | 70.1% | R+40.3 | R+46.2 |
| 1960 | 52.7% | 46.8% | D+5.9 | D+2.8 |
| 1956 | 50.8% | 47.7% | D+3.1 | R+21.8 |
| 1952 | 62.3% | 37.4% | D+24.9 | R+2.6 |
| 1948 | 42.4% | 14.8% | D+27.6 | — |
What defines Clay?
Clay has been trending Republican — 25pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 70.1% margin
- Shifted 24.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections