
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
55K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+57.8
TURNOUT
54.6%
#59 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$68K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 72pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 42.6pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 22% college+ (-13pp vs national)