
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
72K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+73.8
TURNOUT
54.9%
#57 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$51K
COLLEGE+
14%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 64pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 44.4pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 14% college+ (-22pp vs national)