
Safe Republican — shifted 7.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
32K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+73.2
TURNOUT
51.2%
#65 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$53K
COLLEGE+
16%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 66pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 67.5pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 16% college+ (-20pp vs national)