
Safe Republican — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
18K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+50.7
TURNOUT
67.4%
#11 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$60K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 73pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 67.6pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 2% Hispanic (-17pp vs national)