
Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
108K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+47.6
TURNOUT
53.9%
#62 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$59K
COLLEGE+
23%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 66pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 51.4pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 27% Black (+15pp vs national)