
Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
53K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+71.3
TURNOUT
56.9%
#51 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$52K
COLLEGE+
16%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 88% non-Hispanic white (+31pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 69pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 54.3pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.