
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
111K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+43.7
TURNOUT
63.8%
#23 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$84K
COLLEGE+
30%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 61pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 44.7pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.