
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
100K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+71.7
TURNOUT
55.4%
#55 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$63K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 62pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 32.6pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 76% non-Hispanic white (+19pp vs national)