Arkansas County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 67.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 4.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 26.1% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 50.9% | 75.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.8% | 16.0% |
| Black Protestant | 3.4% | 5.0% |
| Catholic | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| Other | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 32.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+32.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+34.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+26.5 |
Arkansas, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 16,515. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+44.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.1% | 71.2% | R+44.1 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 28.9% | 68.4% | R+39.5 | R+7.5 |
| 2016 | 32.9% | 64.9% | R+32.0 | R+9.8 |
| 2012 | 37.8% | 60.0% | R+22.2 | D+0.2 |
| 2008 | 37.5% | 60.0% | R+22.4 | R+12.7 |
| 2004 | 44.8% | 54.5% | R+9.8 | R+2.3 |
| 2000 | 45.2% | 52.6% | R+7.5 | R+42.0 |
| 1996 | 63.0% | 28.5% | D+34.5 | D+8.0 |
| 1992 | 59.0% | 32.5% | D+26.5 | D+39.4 |
| 1988 | 42.7% | 55.6% | R+12.9 | D+7.7 |
| 1984 | 39.4% | 60.0% | R+20.6 | R+31.8 |
| 1980 | 53.9% | 42.7% | D+11.2 | R+27.7 |
| 1976 | 69.5% | 30.5% | D+38.9 | D+86.4 |
| 1972 | 26.0% | 73.5% | R+47.5 | R+50.3 |
| 1968 | 26.6% | 23.8% | D+2.8 | D+10.9 |
| 1964 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 | R+23.0 |
| 1960 | 55.6% | 40.7% | D+14.9 | D+16.5 |
| 1956 | 48.6% | 50.2% | R+1.6 | R+0.7 |
| 1952 | 49.4% | 50.3% | R+0.9 | R+32.0 |
| 1948 | 53.1% | 22.0% | D+31.1 | — |
What defines Arkansas?
Arkansas has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (14% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 44.1% margin
- Shifted 21.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Arkansas sits inside these higher-level geographies.