Safe Republican — shifted 8.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 53.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 15.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 25.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 5.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.5% | 58.9% |
| Black Protestant | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.8% | 10.0% |
| Catholic | 3.2% | 4.2% |
| Other | 2.2% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 22.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+30.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+18.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+35.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.4 |
Bradley, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 10,208. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+39.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.9% | 69.0% | R+39.0 | R+8.3 |
| 2020 | 33.2% | 63.9% | R+30.7 | R+6.9 |
| 2016 | 37.1% | 60.9% | R+23.8 | R+5.1 |
| 2012 | 39.7% | 58.4% | R+18.8 | R+4.4 |
| 2008 | 41.6% | 56.0% | R+14.4 | R+19.0 |
| 2004 | 51.9% | 47.3% | D+4.6 | R+3.7 |
| 2000 | 53.3% | 45.1% | D+8.3 | R+27.5 |
| 1996 | 64.7% | 28.9% | D+35.8 | D+5.4 |
| 1992 | 61.1% | 30.6% | D+30.4 | D+28.6 |
| 1988 | 50.8% | 48.9% | D+1.8 | D+9.3 |
| 1984 | 46.1% | 53.6% | R+7.5 | R+38.0 |
| 1980 | 64.2% | 33.7% | D+30.4 | R+21.3 |
| 1976 | 75.9% | 24.1% | D+51.8 | D+91.8 |
| 1972 | 29.6% | 69.7% | R+40.1 | R+53.7 |
| 1968 | 30.3% | 16.7% | D+13.6 | D+4.4 |
| 1964 | 54.3% | 45.1% | D+9.2 | R+40.4 |
| 1960 | 70.3% | 20.7% | D+49.6 | D+12.3 |
| 1956 | 68.0% | 30.8% | D+37.3 | R+9.7 |
| 1952 | 73.3% | 26.4% | D+47.0 | R+8.5 |
| 1948 | 65.2% | 9.7% | D+55.5 | — |
Bradley has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.