Safe Republican — shifted 8.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 72.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 3.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 17.2% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 60.8% | 66.7% |
| Black Protestant | 19.0% | 20.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Other | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| Non-religious | 8.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+34.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+17.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+25.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.7 |
Calhoun, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 4,704. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.1% | 80.0% | R+61.9 | R+8.9 |
| 2020 | 22.0% | 75.0% | R+53.0 | R+12.1 |
| 2016 | 28.5% | 69.5% | R+41.0 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 30.4% | 67.1% | R+36.7 | R+1.9 |
| 2008 | 31.2% | 65.9% | R+34.8 | R+17.3 |
| 2004 | 40.8% | 58.3% | R+17.4 | R+12.4 |
| 2000 | 46.5% | 51.6% | R+5.1 | R+30.3 |
| 1996 | 57.0% | 31.7% | D+25.3 | D+12.6 |
| 1992 | 51.4% | 38.7% | D+12.7 | D+25.1 |
| 1988 | 43.7% | 56.1% | R+12.5 | D+3.9 |
| 1984 | 41.7% | 58.1% | R+16.4 | R+39.0 |
| 1980 | 60.0% | 37.4% | D+22.6 | R+37.8 |
| 1976 | 80.1% | 19.7% | D+60.4 | D+89.7 |
| 1972 | 35.0% | 64.3% | R+29.3 | R+47.6 |
| 1968 | 31.4% | 13.1% | D+18.3 | R+4.1 |
| 1964 | 60.7% | 38.3% | D+22.4 | R+31.2 |
| 1960 | 72.0% | 18.5% | D+53.6 | D+4.9 |
| 1956 | 74.0% | 25.3% | D+48.7 | R+17.3 |
| 1952 | 82.9% | 16.9% | D+66.0 | R+12.8 |
| 1948 | 83.7% | 4.9% | D+78.8 | — |
Calhoun has been trending Republican — 25pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.