Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 58.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 34.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 47.7% | 57.6% |
| Black Protestant | 25.7% | 31.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 7.9% |
| Other | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| Catholic | 1.3% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 17.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+23.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.6 |
Columbia, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 22,349. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+36.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.1% | 67.6% | R+36.5 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 32.7% | 63.8% | R+31.2 | R+4.6 |
| 2016 | 36.0% | 62.6% | R+26.6 | R+3.0 |
| 2012 | 37.6% | 61.2% | R+23.6 | D+0.5 |
| 2008 | 37.2% | 61.3% | R+24.1 | R+7.8 |
| 2004 | 41.5% | 57.8% | R+16.4 | R+5.4 |
| 2000 | 43.0% | 53.9% | R+10.9 | R+26.0 |
| 1996 | 52.7% | 37.6% | D+15.1 | D+4.4 |
| 1992 | 48.3% | 37.7% | D+10.6 | D+32.1 |
| 1988 | 37.8% | 59.3% | R+21.5 | D+6.2 |
| 1984 | 35.8% | 63.5% | R+27.7 | R+19.5 |
| 1980 | 44.6% | 52.8% | R+8.2 | R+12.8 |
| 1976 | 52.3% | 47.6% | D+4.7 | D+49.6 |
| 1972 | 27.3% | 72.3% | R+45.0 | R+51.9 |
| 1968 | 30.2% | 23.2% | D+6.9 | D+13.9 |
| 1964 | 46.3% | 53.2% | R+7.0 | R+7.9 |
| 1960 | 43.3% | 42.3% | D+1.0 | R+8.3 |
| 1956 | 52.7% | 43.4% | D+9.3 | R+17.6 |
| 1952 | 63.4% | 36.4% | D+26.9 | R+25.8 |
| 1948 | 60.0% | 7.3% | D+52.7 | — |
Columbia has been trending Republican — 13pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.