Safe Republican — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 52.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 1.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 42.6% |
Asian | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.6% | 57.6% |
| Black Protestant | 18.5% | 27.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 11.3% |
| Other | 1.9% | 2.9% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 32.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+23.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+12.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+8.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+0.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+31.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.5 |
Dallas, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 6,242. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.3% | 63.8% | R+29.4 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 36.4% | 59.4% | R+23.0 | R+10.3 |
| 2016 | 43.1% | 55.9% | R+12.7 | R+2.1 |
| 2012 | 43.4% | 54.0% | R+10.6 | R+2.0 |
| 2008 | 44.3% | 53.0% | R+8.6 | R+7.8 |
| 2004 | 49.3% | 50.2% | R+0.9 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 51.4% | 47.2% | D+4.2 | R+27.2 |
| 1996 | 61.7% | 30.3% | D+31.4 | D+14.8 |
| 1992 | 53.7% | 37.1% | D+16.5 | D+15.4 |
| 1988 | 50.3% | 49.2% | D+1.1 | D+8.4 |
| 1984 | 45.5% | 52.8% | R+7.3 | R+34.6 |
| 1980 | 62.5% | 35.2% | D+27.4 | R+25.2 |
| 1976 | 76.2% | 23.6% | D+52.6 | D+73.7 |
| 1972 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.1 | R+37.0 |
| 1968 | 34.4% | 18.4% | D+15.9 | D+11.5 |
| 1964 | 51.6% | 47.1% | D+4.5 | R+33.0 |
| 1960 | 62.7% | 25.2% | D+37.5 | D+10.6 |
| 1956 | 62.5% | 35.6% | D+26.9 | R+22.9 |
| 1952 | 74.8% | 25.0% | D+49.8 | R+10.3 |
| 1948 | 69.0% | 8.9% | D+60.0 | — |
Dallas has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (48% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.