Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
38K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+59.5
TURNOUT
50.1%
#47 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$57K
COLLEGE+
18%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 82% non-Hispanic white (+25pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 79pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 120.4pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.