Lafayette County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 57.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 0.6% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 36.9% |
Asian | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.9% | 57.9% |
| Black Protestant | 15.7% | 28.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.4% | 13.5% |
| Non-religious | 45.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+25.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+18.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+7.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+38.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+27.3 |
Lafayette, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 6,136. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+38.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.0% | 68.3% | R+38.3 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 31.3% | 65.6% | R+34.3 | R+8.5 |
| 2016 | 36.6% | 62.4% | R+25.8 | R+7.3 |
| 2012 | 40.0% | 58.5% | R+18.4 | D+0.6 |
| 2008 | 39.0% | 58.1% | R+19.0 | R+17.9 |
| 2004 | 49.1% | 50.3% | R+1.2 | R+9.1 |
| 2000 | 53.4% | 45.5% | D+7.9 | R+31.0 |
| 1996 | 64.1% | 25.3% | D+38.9 | D+11.6 |
| 1992 | 57.1% | 29.9% | D+27.3 | D+25.8 |
| 1988 | 50.4% | 48.9% | D+1.4 | D+16.3 |
| 1984 | 42.3% | 57.1% | R+14.8 | R+19.9 |
| 1980 | 51.6% | 46.5% | D+5.1 | R+17.9 |
| 1976 | 61.5% | 38.5% | D+23.0 | D+67.0 |
| 1972 | 27.8% | 71.9% | R+44.1 | R+59.0 |
| 1968 | 33.7% | 18.8% | D+15.0 | D+14.7 |
| 1964 | 50.0% | 49.7% | D+0.3 | R+24.4 |
| 1960 | 55.3% | 30.7% | D+24.6 | D+2.2 |
| 1956 | 59.1% | 36.7% | D+22.5 | R+15.4 |
| 1952 | 68.6% | 30.7% | D+37.9 | R+3.3 |
| 1948 | 49.2% | 7.9% | D+41.2 | — |
What defines Lafayette?
Lafayette has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (9% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 38.3% margin
- Shifted 19.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections