Marion County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.2% | 78.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.0% | 11.8% |
| Catholic | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| Other | 1.1% | 3.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 66.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+56.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+38.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+29.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.8 |
Marion, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 17,228. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+60.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.1% | 79.4% | R+60.2 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 20.4% | 77.1% | R+56.7 | R+0.3 |
| 2016 | 20.7% | 77.0% | R+56.3 | R+17.5 |
| 2012 | 28.9% | 67.7% | R+38.8 | R+8.9 |
| 2008 | 33.3% | 63.2% | R+29.9 | R+7.7 |
| 2004 | 37.9% | 60.1% | R+22.2 | R+2.8 |
| 2000 | 37.1% | 56.6% | R+19.4 | R+26.3 |
| 1996 | 44.7% | 37.7% | D+6.9 | R+4.8 |
| 1992 | 44.1% | 32.4% | D+11.8 | D+30.3 |
| 1988 | 39.3% | 57.8% | R+18.5 | D+10.4 |
| 1984 | 35.2% | 64.2% | R+29.0 | R+10.1 |
| 1980 | 38.2% | 57.1% | R+18.9 | R+37.5 |
| 1976 | 59.3% | 40.7% | D+18.6 | D+53.6 |
| 1972 | 31.7% | 66.7% | R+35.0 | R+22.8 |
| 1968 | 30.4% | 42.6% | R+12.2 | R+32.9 |
| 1964 | 60.2% | 39.4% | D+20.8 | D+23.2 |
| 1960 | 48.2% | 50.6% | R+2.4 | R+13.0 |
| 1956 | 55.2% | 44.6% | D+10.6 | R+2.4 |
| 1952 | 56.1% | 43.1% | D+13.0 | R+35.2 |
| 1948 | 72.6% | 24.4% | D+48.2 | — |
What defines Marion?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 60.2% margin
- Shifted 21.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections