Miller County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 4.1% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 25.5% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.1% | 71.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.7% | 9.1% |
| Black Protestant | 5.7% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 8.3% |
| Other | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 37.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+46.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+44.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.2 |
Miller, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 42,360. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+51.1. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.8% | 74.9% | R+51.1 | R+4.7 |
| 2020 | 25.7% | 72.1% | R+46.4 | R+2.0 |
| 2016 | 27.0% | 71.5% | R+44.4 | R+4.6 |
| 2012 | 29.5% | 69.3% | R+39.8 | R+6.3 |
| 2008 | 32.3% | 65.8% | R+33.5 | R+17.8 |
| 2004 | 41.8% | 57.6% | R+15.7 | R+8.5 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 52.9% | R+7.3 | R+20.0 |
| 1996 | 51.7% | 39.0% | D+12.8 | D+0.6 |
| 1992 | 48.2% | 36.1% | D+12.2 | D+25.4 |
| 1988 | 43.1% | 56.3% | R+13.3 | D+14.4 |
| 1984 | 35.8% | 63.4% | R+27.6 | R+21.6 |
| 1980 | 46.4% | 52.4% | R+6.0 | R+23.3 |
| 1976 | 58.6% | 41.2% | D+17.4 | D+66.4 |
| 1972 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.1 | R+51.6 |
| 1968 | 27.5% | 25.0% | D+2.5 | R+7.4 |
| 1964 | 54.7% | 44.8% | D+9.9 | R+7.8 |
| 1960 | 56.1% | 38.4% | D+17.7 | D+6.7 |
| 1956 | 54.1% | 43.1% | D+11.0 | R+14.9 |
| 1952 | 62.7% | 36.9% | D+25.9 | R+25.7 |
| 1948 | 62.2% | 10.7% | D+51.6 | — |
What defines Miller?
Miller has been trending Republican — 11pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (15% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 51.1% margin
- Shifted 11.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections