Scott County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 83.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 7.9% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(2) | 3.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 46.2% | 83.2% |
| Other | 5.6% | 10.2% |
| Catholic | 2.3% | 4.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| Non-religious | 44.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+73.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+69.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+62.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+25.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.7 |
Scott, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 9,816. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+73.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.6% | 86.1% | R+73.5 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 13.6% | 83.4% | R+69.8 | R+7.5 |
| 2016 | 17.6% | 79.9% | R+62.3 | R+14.7 |
| 2012 | 24.6% | 72.3% | R+47.6 | R+4.1 |
| 2008 | 26.4% | 69.9% | R+43.5 | R+17.7 |
| 2004 | 36.5% | 62.3% | R+25.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2000 | 36.3% | 60.3% | R+24.0 | R+43.4 |
| 1996 | 52.6% | 33.2% | D+19.4 | D+7.7 |
| 1992 | 48.8% | 37.2% | D+11.7 | D+30.4 |
| 1988 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.8 | D+12.2 |
| 1984 | 34.2% | 65.1% | R+30.9 | R+31.1 |
| 1980 | 48.3% | 48.2% | D+0.2 | R+33.5 |
| 1976 | 66.8% | 33.1% | D+33.7 | D+85.4 |
| 1972 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.7 | R+47.0 |
| 1968 | 29.4% | 34.2% | R+4.8 | R+29.0 |
| 1964 | 62.0% | 37.8% | D+24.2 | D+25.1 |
| 1960 | 49.3% | 50.2% | R+0.9 | D+12.5 |
| 1956 | 43.0% | 56.5% | R+13.4 | R+27.9 |
| 1952 | 57.0% | 42.5% | D+14.5 | R+44.7 |
| 1948 | 77.6% | 18.5% | D+59.2 | — |
What defines Scott?
Scott has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 73.5% margin
- Shifted 25.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections