Safe Republican — shifted 8.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 52.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 35.5% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 5.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 2.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 1.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.3% | 55.5% |
| Catholic | 18.9% | 26.7% |
| Black Protestant | 6.5% | 9.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 4.9% |
| Other | 2.5% | 3.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 29.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+40.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+0.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+19.3 |
Sevier, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 15,712. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.3% | 80.0% | R+61.7 | R+8.5 |
| 2020 | 21.5% | 74.7% | R+53.2 | R+3.5 |
| 2016 | 24.2% | 73.9% | R+49.7 | R+1.4 |
| 2012 | 24.1% | 72.4% | R+48.4 | R+8.3 |
| 2008 | 28.2% | 68.2% | R+40.0 | R+29.6 |
| 2004 | 44.2% | 54.7% | R+10.4 | R+10.1 |
| 2000 | 48.8% | 49.2% | R+0.4 | R+26.9 |
| 1996 | 57.7% | 31.2% | D+26.5 | D+7.3 |
| 1992 | 51.0% | 31.8% | D+19.3 | D+24.3 |
| 1988 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.0 | D+20.8 |
| 1984 | 36.8% | 62.6% | R+25.8 | R+32.2 |
| 1980 | 51.9% | 45.5% | D+6.4 | R+33.0 |
| 1976 | 69.5% | 30.1% | D+39.4 | D+80.3 |
| 1972 | 29.0% | 69.9% | R+40.9 | R+38.6 |
| 1968 | 29.3% | 31.6% | R+2.3 | R+28.1 |
| 1964 | 62.8% | 36.9% | D+25.8 | D+10.3 |
| 1960 | 55.7% | 40.2% | D+15.5 | D+2.8 |
| 1956 | 56.0% | 43.3% | D+12.7 | R+6.6 |
| 1952 | 59.6% | 40.3% | D+19.4 | R+37.6 |
| 1948 | 71.5% | 14.5% | D+57.0 | — |
Sevier has been trending Republican — 13pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.