Alameda County, California
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 9.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 27.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 23.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 9.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 32.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.2% | 46.7% |
| Other | 9.5% | 23.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.1% | 17.2% |
| Black Protestant | 2.6% | 6.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.0% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.8% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 58.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+53.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+62.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+63.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+60.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+59.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+51.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+45.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+42.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+42.4 |
Alameda, California is a county that has a population of 1,649,473. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+53.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74.6% | 21.0% | D+53.5 | R+9.0 |
| 2020 | 80.2% | 17.7% | D+62.5 | R+1.0 |
| 2016 | 78.1% | 14.5% | D+63.5 | D+3.0 |
| 2012 | 78.7% | 18.1% | D+60.6 | D+1.2 |
| 2008 | 78.5% | 19.2% | D+59.3 | D+7.4 |
| 2004 | 75.2% | 23.3% | D+51.9 | D+6.7 |
| 2000 | 69.4% | 24.1% | D+45.2 | D+2.5 |
| 1996 | 65.8% | 23.1% | D+42.7 | D+0.3 |
| 1992 | 63.0% | 20.6% | D+42.4 | D+11.6 |
| 1988 | 64.8% | 34.0% | D+30.8 | D+12.1 |
| 1984 | 58.7% | 40.0% | D+18.6 | D+8.3 |
| 1980 | 48.3% | 38.0% | D+10.3 | R+9.5 |
| 1976 | 57.9% | 38.1% | D+19.8 | D+7.6 |
| 1972 | 55.0% | 42.8% | D+12.2 | R+4.1 |
| 1968 | 53.9% | 37.6% | D+16.3 | R+16.7 |
| 1964 | 66.4% | 33.5% | D+33.0 | D+24.6 |
| 1960 | 54.0% | 45.6% | D+8.4 | D+13.5 |
| 1956 | 47.3% | 52.4% | R+5.1 | 0.0 |
| 1952 | 47.0% | 52.2% | R+5.2 | R+6.4 |
| 1948 | 47.8% | 46.6% | D+1.2 | — |
What defines Alameda?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 53.5% margin
- Margins have been narrowing — from 63.5pp to 53.5pp over the last 3 presidential elections