Madera County, California
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 9.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 33 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 29.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 60.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 2.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.8% | 67.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.6% | 19.4% |
| Other | 4.8% | 10.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 4.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 55.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+17.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.3 |
Madera, California is a county that has a population of 160,940. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.8. Akashic Edge tracks 33 presidential elections here, dating back to 1896.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.4% | 59.2% | R+20.8 | R+9.2 |
| 2020 | 43.1% | 54.7% | R+11.6 | D+3.0 |
| 2016 | 39.1% | 53.7% | R+14.5 | D+2.6 |
| 2012 | 40.1% | 57.2% | R+17.1 | R+3.8 |
| 2008 | 42.3% | 55.5% | R+13.3 | D+16.1 |
| 2004 | 34.7% | 64.0% | R+29.3 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 34.9% | 60.7% | R+25.9 | R+8.7 |
| 1996 | 36.7% | 53.8% | R+17.1 | R+9.9 |
| 1992 | 35.9% | 43.2% | R+7.3 | D+3.5 |
| 1988 | 43.8% | 54.6% | R+10.8 | D+10.6 |
| 1984 | 38.7% | 60.0% | R+21.3 | R+7.1 |
| 1980 | 39.3% | 53.6% | R+14.2 | R+19.5 |
| 1976 | 51.2% | 46.0% | D+5.2 | D+13.7 |
| 1972 | 44.2% | 52.6% | R+8.4 | R+13.3 |
| 1968 | 48.5% | 43.6% | D+4.9 | R+30.6 |
| 1964 | 67.7% | 32.2% | D+35.6 | D+19.5 |
| 1960 | 57.8% | 41.8% | D+16.1 | D+0.6 |
| 1956 | 57.6% | 42.1% | D+15.5 | D+14.6 |
| 1952 | 50.0% | 49.1% | D+0.9 | R+19.3 |
| 1948 | 58.2% | 38.0% | D+20.1 | — |
What defines Madera?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.8% margin
- College attainment is 18% — 15pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally