Marin County, California
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 19.5% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 2.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 23.4% | 63.2% |
| Other | 7.1% | 19.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.1% | 8.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.0% | 8.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 62.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+63.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+66.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+61.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+51.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+57.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+47.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+35.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+29.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+35.0 |
Marin, California is a county that has a population of 257,969. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+63.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 80.6% | 16.7% | D+63.9 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 82.3% | 15.8% | D+66.5 | D+4.7 |
| 2016 | 77.3% | 15.5% | D+61.8 | D+10.6 |
| 2012 | 74.1% | 22.9% | D+51.2 | R+6.4 |
| 2008 | 77.8% | 20.2% | D+57.6 | D+9.8 |
| 2004 | 73.2% | 25.4% | D+47.8 | D+11.9 |
| 2000 | 64.3% | 28.3% | D+35.9 | D+6.1 |
| 1996 | 58.0% | 28.2% | D+29.9 | R+5.1 |
| 1992 | 58.3% | 23.3% | D+35.0 | D+15.8 |
| 1988 | 58.8% | 39.7% | D+19.1 | D+18.6 |
| 1984 | 49.6% | 49.0% | D+0.6 | D+10.2 |
| 1980 | 36.2% | 45.8% | R+9.6 | 0.0 |
| 1976 | 42.9% | 52.5% | R+9.7 | R+3.2 |
| 1972 | 45.6% | 52.1% | R+6.5 | R+0.2 |
| 1968 | 43.8% | 50.1% | R+6.2 | R+29.8 |
| 1964 | 61.7% | 38.1% | D+23.6 | D+38.4 |
| 1960 | 42.5% | 57.3% | R+14.8 | D+17.4 |
| 1956 | 33.8% | 65.9% | R+32.2 | D+2.5 |
| 1952 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.6 | R+15.7 |
| 1948 | 38.2% | 57.1% | R+18.9 | — |
What defines Marin?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 63.9% margin
- College attainment is 61% — 28pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally