San Diego County, California
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 34.6% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 4.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 12.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.9% | 55.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.5% | 22.8% |
| Other | 6.6% | 15.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.1% | 5.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 3.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 58.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+16.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+22.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+19.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+4.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.6 |
San Diego, California is a county that has a population of 3,288,774. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+16.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.9% | 40.1% | D+16.8 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 60.2% | 37.5% | D+22.8 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | 56.1% | 36.4% | D+19.6 | D+12.1 |
| 2012 | 52.5% | 45.0% | D+7.6 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 54.0% | 43.8% | D+10.2 | D+16.3 |
| 2004 | 46.3% | 52.5% | R+6.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 49.6% | R+4.0 | R+2.5 |
| 1996 | 44.1% | 45.6% | R+1.5 | R+3.0 |
| 1992 | 37.2% | 35.7% | D+1.6 | D+23.4 |
| 1988 | 38.3% | 60.2% | R+21.9 | D+10.0 |
| 1984 | 33.4% | 65.3% | R+31.9 | D+1.7 |
| 1980 | 27.3% | 60.8% | R+33.5 | R+19.4 |
| 1976 | 41.6% | 55.7% | R+14.1 | D+13.3 |
| 1972 | 34.3% | 61.8% | R+27.5 | R+7.3 |
| 1968 | 36.1% | 56.3% | R+20.2 | R+19.6 |
| 1964 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.6 | D+12.5 |
| 1960 | 43.3% | 56.4% | R+13.1 | D+16.2 |
| 1956 | 35.2% | 64.5% | R+29.3 | R+3.0 |
| 1952 | 36.5% | 62.9% | R+26.3 | R+24.7 |
| 1948 | 47.8% | 49.4% | R+1.6 | — |
What defines San Diego?
San Diego has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- College attainment is 43% — 10pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally