Tulare County, California
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 13.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 25.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 66.6% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 36.4% | 68.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.6% | 19.8% |
| Other | 4.5% | 8.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 3.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.3% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 46.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.5 |
Tulare, California is a county that has a population of 478,693. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.8% | 59.6% | R+20.9 | R+13.1 |
| 2020 | 45.0% | 52.8% | R+7.8 | D+1.6 |
| 2016 | 41.7% | 51.1% | R+9.4 | D+5.6 |
| 2012 | 41.2% | 56.2% | R+15.0 | D+0.3 |
| 2008 | 41.3% | 56.6% | R+15.3 | D+18.0 |
| 2004 | 32.9% | 66.2% | R+33.3 | R+9.8 |
| 2000 | 36.7% | 60.2% | R+23.4 | R+7.6 |
| 1996 | 38.1% | 53.9% | R+15.8 | R+5.3 |
| 1992 | 35.2% | 45.7% | R+10.5 | D+10.1 |
| 1988 | 39.0% | 59.6% | R+20.6 | D+8.2 |
| 1984 | 35.1% | 63.9% | R+28.8 | R+6.0 |
| 1980 | 35.5% | 58.3% | R+22.8 | R+12.0 |
| 1976 | 43.7% | 54.5% | R+10.8 | D+12.9 |
| 1972 | 36.2% | 59.9% | R+23.7 | R+11.0 |
| 1968 | 39.5% | 52.2% | R+12.7 | R+32.9 |
| 1964 | 60.1% | 39.8% | D+20.2 | D+28.6 |
| 1960 | 45.6% | 54.0% | R+8.4 | R+3.0 |
| 1956 | 47.2% | 52.5% | R+5.3 | D+8.8 |
| 1952 | 42.5% | 56.7% | R+14.2 | R+17.4 |
| 1948 | 50.2% | 47.0% | D+3.2 | — |
What defines Tulare?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.9% margin
- Swung 13.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024