Leans Democratic — shifted 12.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 54.7% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.5% |
▶Asian(2) | 1.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.3% | 81.0% |
| Other | 6.3% | 17.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.7% | 15.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 63.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+27.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+29.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+48.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+48.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+34.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+33.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+50.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+46.4 |
Costilla, Colorado is a county that has a population of 3,607. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.7. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1880.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.5% | 40.9% | D+14.7 | R+12.6 |
| 2020 | 62.6% | 35.4% | D+27.2 | R+1.8 |
| 2016 | 60.9% | 31.8% | D+29.1 | R+19.6 |
| 2012 | 72.9% | 24.3% | D+48.7 | R+0.2 |
| 2008 | 73.4% | 24.5% | D+48.9 | D+14.6 |
| 2004 | 66.5% | 32.2% | D+34.3 | D+1.0 |
| 2000 | 64.0% | 30.6% | D+33.4 | R+17.5 |
| 1996 | 71.2% | 20.3% | D+50.9 | D+4.5 |
| 1992 | 67.3% | 20.9% | D+46.4 | D+4.3 |
| 1988 | 70.8% | 28.7% | D+42.1 | D+19.1 |
| 1984 | 61.1% | 38.1% | D+23.1 | R+11.5 |
| 1980 | 65.4% | 30.9% | D+34.5 | R+9.5 |
| 1976 | 71.0% | 27.0% | D+44.1 | D+34.2 |
| 1972 | 52.1% | 42.2% | D+9.9 | R+20.8 |
| 1968 | 63.0% | 32.2% | D+30.8 | R+31.2 |
| 1964 | 80.8% | 18.8% | D+62.0 | D+26.3 |
| 1960 | 67.5% | 31.8% | D+35.7 | D+22.5 |
| 1956 | 55.7% | 42.5% | D+13.2 | D+1.0 |
| 1952 | 55.9% | 43.7% | D+12.2 | R+13.1 |
| 1948 | 61.7% | 36.4% | D+25.4 | — |
Costilla has been trending Republican — 34pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.