Safe Republican — 37 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
50K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+38.4
TURNOUT
74.8%
#32 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$63K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 41.0pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 78% non-Hispanic white (+20pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 10pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.