St. Lucie County, Florida
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 21.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 21.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.1% | 55.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.5% | 29.2% |
| Other | 2.8% | 7.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 3.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.2% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 63.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+1.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.8 |
St. Lucie, Florida is a county that has a population of 360,500. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.1. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.1% | 54.2% | R+9.1 | R+7.5 |
| 2020 | 48.9% | 50.4% | R+1.6 | D+0.9 |
| 2016 | 47.5% | 49.9% | R+2.4 | R+10.3 |
| 2012 | 53.4% | 45.6% | D+7.8 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 55.5% | 43.4% | D+12.1 | D+7.8 |
| 2004 | 51.8% | 47.6% | D+4.2 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 53.3% | 44.5% | D+8.8 | R+1.1 |
| 1996 | 48.9% | 39.1% | D+9.8 | D+10.6 |
| 1992 | 35.0% | 35.8% | R+0.8 | D+28.9 |
| 1988 | 34.8% | 64.5% | R+29.7 | D+7.1 |
| 1984 | 31.6% | 68.4% | R+36.8 | R+10.7 |
| 1980 | 34.7% | 60.8% | R+26.1 | R+29.7 |
| 1976 | 51.2% | 47.5% | D+3.6 | D+54.8 |
| 1972 | 24.3% | 75.4% | R+51.1 | R+39.0 |
| 1968 | 30.9% | 43.0% | R+12.1 | R+15.8 |
| 1964 | 51.8% | 48.2% | D+3.6 | D+12.1 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 54.2% | R+8.5 | D+24.5 |
| 1956 | 33.3% | 66.3% | R+33.0 | R+7.7 |
| 1952 | 37.3% | 62.7% | R+25.3 | R+25.6 |
| 1948 | 38.4% | 38.0% | D+0.3 | — |
What defines St. Lucie?
St. Lucie has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
Current Florida Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Florida Senate General Election
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
2 pollsLow
Field Preview
2026 Florida Governor General Election
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%
3 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate