Baldwin County, Georgia
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 41.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.9% | 65.7% |
| Catholic | 3.5% | 10.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.1% | 8.8% |
| Other | 3.1% | 8.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.4% | 6.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 65.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+1.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+1.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+4.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+1.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.2 |
Baldwin, Georgia is a county that has a population of 43,642. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.7% | 50.9% | R+2.2 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 50.1% | 48.8% | D+1.3 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 49.5% | 47.8% | D+1.7 | R+3.8 |
| 2012 | 52.1% | 46.6% | D+5.5 | D+0.9 |
| 2008 | 51.8% | 47.2% | D+4.6 | D+11.0 |
| 2004 | 46.5% | 52.9% | R+6.4 | R+5.2 |
| 2000 | 48.6% | 49.8% | R+1.2 | R+11.7 |
| 1996 | 51.2% | 40.8% | D+10.4 | R+2.7 |
| 1992 | 49.3% | 36.2% | D+13.2 | D+31.8 |
| 1988 | 40.4% | 59.0% | R+18.6 | D+0.9 |
| 1984 | 40.3% | 59.7% | R+19.5 | R+28.2 |
| 1980 | 52.5% | 43.7% | D+8.8 | R+4.1 |
| 1976 | 56.4% | 43.6% | D+12.8 | D+67.0 |
| 1972 | 22.9% | 77.1% | R+54.2 | R+51.2 |
| 1968 | 29.7% | 32.6% | R+2.9 | D+8.2 |
| 1964 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.2 | R+39.5 |
| 1960 | 64.2% | 35.8% | D+28.3 | R+7.2 |
| 1956 | 67.7% | 32.1% | D+35.5 | R+3.2 |
| 1952 | 69.4% | 30.6% | D+38.8 | D+11.4 |
| 1948 | 54.0% | 26.7% | D+27.4 | — |
What defines Baldwin?
Baldwin flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 1.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 7.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections