
Leans Republican — shifted 6.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
11K
COMPETITIVENESS
Lean R
2024 PRES
R+11.5
TURNOUT
61.7%
#100 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$54K
COLLEGE+
15%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2016
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Demographically distinctive: 53% Black (+41pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 57pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 52.3pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.