Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 28 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 9.7% |
Black / African American | <0.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 21.9% | 61.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 20.5% | 57.7% |
| Catholic | 7.6% | 21.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.5% | 12.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 4.2% |
| Non-religious | 64.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+53.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+50.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+22.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.8 |
Gem, Idaho is a county that has a population of 20,614. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.0. Akashic Edge tracks 28 presidential elections here, dating back to 1916.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.0% | 81.9% | R+66.0 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 18.1% | 79.8% | R+61.7 | R+2.0 |
| 2016 | 15.5% | 75.2% | R+59.8 | R+15.0 |
| 2012 | 26.1% | 70.9% | R+44.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2008 | 27.3% | 70.3% | R+43.0 | D+10.1 |
| 2004 | 22.8% | 75.9% | R+53.1 | R+2.5 |
| 2000 | 22.5% | 73.1% | R+50.6 | R+28.3 |
| 1996 | 31.6% | 54.0% | R+22.4 | R+7.6 |
| 1992 | 28.1% | 42.9% | R+14.8 | D+2.0 |
| 1988 | 40.1% | 56.9% | R+16.8 | D+21.3 |
| 1984 | 30.0% | 68.1% | R+38.1 | R+0.5 |
| 1980 | 28.2% | 65.8% | R+37.6 | R+28.3 |
| 1976 | 43.5% | 52.7% | R+9.3 | D+27.9 |
| 1972 | 24.1% | 61.3% | R+37.2 | R+8.9 |
| 1968 | 29.6% | 57.9% | R+28.3 | R+36.4 |
| 1964 | 54.1% | 45.9% | D+8.1 | D+18.4 |
| 1960 | 44.9% | 55.1% | R+10.3 | D+7.2 |
| 1956 | 41.2% | 58.7% | R+17.5 | D+7.1 |
| 1952 | 37.7% | 62.2% | R+24.5 | R+28.6 |
| 1948 | 50.3% | 46.3% | D+4.1 | — |
Gem has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.