
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
21K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+52.1
TURNOUT
57.6%
#57 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$66K
COLLEGE+
17%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 92% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 38pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 57.3pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.