St. Joseph County, Indiana
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 10.5% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 12.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.1% | 43.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.8% | 32.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 10.9% |
| Black Protestant | 3.0% | 7.7% |
| Other | 2.3% | 5.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 60.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+1.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+5.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.0 |
St. Joseph, Indiana is a county that has a population of 273,040. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.8% | 48.4% | D+1.5 | R+4.4 |
| 2020 | 52.1% | 46.2% | D+5.8 | D+5.6 |
| 2016 | 46.7% | 46.5% | D+0.2 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 50.9% | 47.4% | D+3.5 | R+13.5 |
| 2008 | 57.9% | 40.9% | D+17.0 | D+19.4 |
| 2004 | 48.5% | 50.9% | R+2.4 | R+2.5 |
| 2000 | 49.4% | 49.3% | D+0.1 | R+7.8 |
| 1996 | 49.0% | 41.1% | D+8.0 | D+1.0 |
| 1992 | 44.2% | 37.3% | D+7.0 | D+8.4 |
| 1988 | 49.1% | 50.6% | R+1.5 | D+5.3 |
| 1984 | 46.4% | 53.1% | R+6.7 | R+0.5 |
| 1980 | 42.9% | 49.1% | R+6.2 | R+5.0 |
| 1976 | 49.0% | 50.2% | R+1.2 | D+20.4 |
| 1972 | 38.9% | 60.5% | R+21.6 | R+21.9 |
| 1968 | 44.4% | 44.1% | D+0.3 | R+24.1 |
| 1964 | 61.9% | 37.5% | D+24.4 | D+16.0 |
| 1960 | 54.1% | 45.6% | D+8.4 | D+11.7 |
| 1956 | 48.1% | 51.4% | R+3.3 | R+3.0 |
| 1952 | 49.5% | 49.7% | R+0.3 | R+11.6 |
| 1948 | 54.9% | 43.6% | D+11.3 | — |
What defines St. Joseph?
St. Joseph has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate