Black Hawk County, Iowa
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 7.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 78.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 5.2% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 9.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 14.8% | 30.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 14.5% | 29.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.7% | 17.7% |
| Black Protestant | 7.2% | 14.6% |
| Other | 3.8% | 7.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 51.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+1.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+7.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+20.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+22.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+11.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.3 |
Black Hawk, Iowa is a county that has a population of 131,049. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.8% | 48.6% | D+1.2 | R+7.9 |
| 2020 | 53.5% | 44.5% | D+9.0 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | 49.6% | 42.3% | D+7.3 | R+12.9 |
| 2012 | 59.3% | 39.1% | D+20.2 | R+2.2 |
| 2008 | 60.5% | 38.1% | D+22.4 | D+10.9 |
| 2004 | 55.4% | 43.9% | D+11.5 | R+0.6 |
| 2000 | 54.7% | 42.6% | D+12.1 | R+7.4 |
| 1996 | 55.8% | 36.4% | D+19.4 | D+6.1 |
| 1992 | 48.1% | 34.8% | D+13.3 | R+0.1 |
| 1988 | 56.4% | 42.9% | D+13.4 | D+14.7 |
| 1984 | 49.0% | 50.2% | R+1.2 | D+2.2 |
| 1980 | 43.1% | 46.5% | R+3.4 | R+1.0 |
| 1976 | 47.8% | 50.2% | R+2.4 | D+14.7 |
| 1972 | 40.4% | 57.5% | R+17.1 | R+8.1 |
| 1968 | 42.6% | 51.6% | R+9.1 | R+30.8 |
| 1964 | 60.8% | 39.1% | D+21.7 | D+30.0 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 54.1% | R+8.3 | D+7.8 |
| 1956 | 41.9% | 58.0% | R+16.1 | D+8.4 |
| 1952 | 37.6% | 62.0% | R+24.5 | R+34.3 |
| 1948 | 54.1% | 44.3% | D+9.8 | — |
What defines Black Hawk?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
Current Iowa Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Iowa. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Iowa Governor General Election
Rob Sand leads at 50.0%
1 pollsSparse
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2024 election was decided by just 1.2 points — razor-thin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 21.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate