
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
19K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+71.2
TURNOUT
63.4%
#40 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$54K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 90% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 64pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 16.5pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.