Casey County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 93.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.4% | 79.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.4% | 14.4% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.8% |
| Catholic | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 48.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+76.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+73.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+73.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+62.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+58.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+62.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+57.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+42.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+36.0 |
Casey, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 15,914. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+76.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11.4% | 87.8% | R+76.4 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 12.8% | 86.2% | R+73.4 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 11.9% | 85.1% | R+73.2 | R+10.6 |
| 2012 | 17.8% | 80.5% | R+62.7 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.1 | D+4.2 |
| 2004 | 18.6% | 80.8% | R+62.3 | R+4.4 |
| 2000 | 20.5% | 78.3% | R+57.8 | R+15.1 |
| 1996 | 22.7% | 65.4% | R+42.7 | R+6.7 |
| 1992 | 26.6% | 62.6% | R+36.0 | D+15.6 |
| 1988 | 23.8% | 75.4% | R+51.6 | D+7.0 |
| 1984 | 20.4% | 79.0% | R+58.7 | R+6.4 |
| 1980 | 23.0% | 75.3% | R+52.2 | R+16.9 |
| 1976 | 31.8% | 67.2% | R+35.3 | D+24.2 |
| 1972 | 19.3% | 78.8% | R+59.5 | R+5.7 |
| 1968 | 16.8% | 70.6% | R+53.9 | R+24.3 |
| 1964 | 35.0% | 64.5% | R+29.5 | D+25.1 |
| 1960 | 22.7% | 77.3% | R+54.6 | R+9.4 |
| 1956 | 27.3% | 72.5% | R+45.2 | R+2.1 |
| 1952 | 28.4% | 71.4% | R+43.0 | R+4.6 |
| 1948 | 30.4% | 68.8% | R+38.4 | — |
What defines Casey?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 76.4% margin
- Shifted 13.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections