Henderson County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 3.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 8.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.3% | 59.3% |
| Catholic | 10.9% | 18.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.5% | 14.8% |
| Other | 2.2% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 42.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+24.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+27.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+11.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+19.5 |
Henderson, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 44,280. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.7% | 64.0% | R+29.2 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 36.9% | 61.5% | R+24.6 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | 34.0% | 61.7% | R+27.7 | R+15.8 |
| 2012 | 43.4% | 55.3% | R+11.8 | R+14.5 |
| 2008 | 50.6% | 47.9% | D+2.6 | D+15.3 |
| 2004 | 43.3% | 56.0% | R+12.7 | R+14.9 |
| 2000 | 50.2% | 48.0% | D+2.2 | R+17.8 |
| 1996 | 54.4% | 34.4% | D+20.0 | D+0.5 |
| 1992 | 51.3% | 31.8% | D+19.5 | D+14.5 |
| 1988 | 52.3% | 47.3% | D+5.0 | D+9.2 |
| 1984 | 47.7% | 51.9% | R+4.2 | R+26.2 |
| 1980 | 59.2% | 37.1% | D+22.0 | R+9.9 |
| 1976 | 65.3% | 33.4% | D+31.9 | D+54.7 |
| 1972 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.8 | R+37.3 |
| 1968 | 47.2% | 32.7% | D+14.4 | R+34.6 |
| 1964 | 74.4% | 25.4% | D+49.0 | D+46.6 |
| 1960 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.4 | R+1.4 |
| 1956 | 50.8% | 46.9% | D+3.8 | R+5.2 |
| 1952 | 54.3% | 45.2% | D+9.0 | R+38.0 |
| 1948 | 71.9% | 24.9% | D+47.0 | — |
What defines Henderson?
Henderson has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.2% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 31.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Henderson sits inside these higher-level geographies.