Lawrence County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 96.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 0.4% |
Black / African American | 0.1% |
▶Asian(1) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.1% | 75.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.8% | 19.0% |
| Other | 1.0% | 2.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 64.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+67.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+62.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.3 |
Lawrence, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 16,077. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+67.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.9% | 83.1% | R+67.2 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 17.8% | 81.0% | R+63.2 | R+0.8 |
| 2016 | 17.3% | 79.7% | R+62.4 | R+18.1 |
| 2012 | 27.2% | 71.4% | R+44.3 | R+18.3 |
| 2008 | 36.0% | 62.0% | R+26.0 | R+9.8 |
| 2004 | 41.5% | 57.7% | R+16.1 | R+2.7 |
| 2000 | 42.5% | 55.9% | R+13.4 | R+21.9 |
| 1996 | 48.7% | 40.2% | D+8.5 | D+2.3 |
| 1992 | 47.5% | 41.2% | D+6.3 | D+8.4 |
| 1988 | 48.8% | 50.9% | R+2.1 | D+7.8 |
| 1984 | 44.8% | 54.7% | R+9.9 | R+5.8 |
| 1980 | 47.4% | 51.5% | R+4.1 | R+17.2 |
| 1976 | 56.1% | 42.9% | D+13.2 | D+35.0 |
| 1972 | 38.7% | 60.5% | R+21.8 | R+19.0 |
| 1968 | 43.0% | 45.8% | R+2.9 | R+24.4 |
| 1964 | 60.7% | 39.2% | D+21.5 | D+30.9 |
| 1960 | 45.3% | 54.7% | R+9.4 | R+1.4 |
| 1956 | 45.9% | 53.9% | R+8.0 | R+6.2 |
| 1952 | 49.0% | 50.8% | R+1.9 | R+7.5 |
| 1948 | 52.5% | 46.8% | D+5.6 | — |
What defines Lawrence?
Lawrence has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 67.2% margin
- Shifted 23.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Lawrence sits inside these higher-level geographies.