Magoffin County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 9.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 97.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.1% | 90.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 5.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 68.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+54.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+0.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+22.2 |
Magoffin, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 11,348. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+64.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.2% | 81.3% | R+64.1 | R+9.7 |
| 2020 | 22.3% | 76.6% | R+54.3 | R+2.5 |
| 2016 | 22.9% | 74.7% | R+51.8 | R+11.9 |
| 2012 | 29.2% | 69.1% | R+39.9 | R+32.8 |
| 2008 | 45.3% | 52.3% | R+7.1 | R+7.2 |
| 2004 | 49.7% | 49.6% | D+0.1 | D+3.5 |
| 2000 | 47.7% | 51.1% | R+3.3 | R+23.5 |
| 1996 | 55.6% | 35.5% | D+20.1 | R+2.1 |
| 1992 | 57.1% | 34.9% | D+22.2 | D+7.7 |
| 1988 | 57.0% | 42.5% | D+14.5 | D+3.2 |
| 1984 | 55.5% | 44.2% | D+11.3 | R+2.3 |
| 1980 | 56.4% | 42.8% | D+13.6 | R+1.8 |
| 1976 | 57.5% | 42.1% | D+15.4 | D+20.6 |
| 1972 | 47.3% | 52.4% | R+5.1 | R+4.2 |
| 1968 | 46.7% | 47.7% | R+1.0 | R+31.4 |
| 1964 | 64.8% | 34.4% | D+30.4 | D+35.5 |
| 1960 | 47.5% | 52.5% | R+5.1 | R+1.1 |
| 1956 | 47.9% | 52.0% | R+4.0 | R+7.5 |
| 1952 | 51.7% | 48.2% | D+3.5 | R+5.5 |
| 1948 | 54.5% | 45.5% | D+9.0 | — |
What defines Magoffin?
Magoffin has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 64.1% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2004, Republicans in 2024