Muhlenberg County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 91.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 2.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 64.0% | 86.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 7.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 2.8% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.2% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 1.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 25.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+54.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+23.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+0.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.2 |
Muhlenberg, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 30,591. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+54.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.3% | 76.6% | R+54.4 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 24.9% | 73.7% | R+48.8 | R+2.0 |
| 2016 | 25.1% | 71.9% | R+46.9 | R+23.4 |
| 2012 | 37.5% | 60.9% | R+23.5 | R+21.7 |
| 2008 | 48.3% | 50.0% | R+1.8 | R+0.9 |
| 2004 | 49.2% | 50.1% | R+0.8 | R+7.3 |
| 2000 | 52.7% | 46.2% | D+6.5 | R+19.8 |
| 1996 | 57.6% | 31.3% | D+26.3 | R+6.9 |
| 1992 | 60.2% | 27.1% | D+33.2 | D+20.7 |
| 1988 | 56.1% | 43.6% | D+12.5 | D+12.0 |
| 1984 | 50.2% | 49.6% | D+0.5 | R+14.2 |
| 1980 | 56.5% | 41.8% | D+14.7 | R+9.4 |
| 1976 | 61.6% | 37.5% | D+24.2 | D+50.3 |
| 1972 | 36.2% | 62.3% | R+26.2 | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | 37.8% | 39.5% | R+1.7 | R+33.7 |
| 1964 | 65.9% | 33.9% | D+32.0 | D+46.9 |
| 1960 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 | R+9.2 |
| 1956 | 47.0% | 52.6% | R+5.7 | R+8.5 |
| 1952 | 51.3% | 48.5% | D+2.8 | R+9.0 |
| 1948 | 55.1% | 43.3% | D+11.8 | — |
What defines Muhlenberg?
Muhlenberg has been trending Republican — 31pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 54.4% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.8 points — razor-thin