Nicholas County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 95.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 1.0% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 1.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.1% | 62.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.2% | 29.3% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 4.9% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 2.9% |
| Non-religious | 58.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.0 |
Nicholas, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 7,708. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.8% | 73.8% | R+49.0 | R+6.2 |
| 2020 | 28.1% | 70.9% | R+42.8 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 27.7% | 68.9% | R+41.2 | R+16.6 |
| 2012 | 36.7% | 61.3% | R+24.6 | R+12.4 |
| 2008 | 42.8% | 55.0% | R+12.2 | R+0.2 |
| 2004 | 43.5% | 55.6% | R+12.0 | D+11.1 |
| 2000 | 37.2% | 60.3% | R+23.2 | R+29.3 |
| 1996 | 47.3% | 41.1% | D+6.1 | R+9.9 |
| 1992 | 48.1% | 32.1% | D+16.0 | D+17.2 |
| 1988 | 48.5% | 49.7% | R+1.1 | D+14.9 |
| 1984 | 41.4% | 57.4% | R+16.0 | R+34.5 |
| 1980 | 57.4% | 38.9% | D+18.5 | R+17.0 |
| 1976 | 66.5% | 31.0% | D+35.5 | D+49.7 |
| 1972 | 42.0% | 56.2% | R+14.2 | R+23.2 |
| 1968 | 44.2% | 35.2% | D+9.0 | R+38.1 |
| 1964 | 73.3% | 26.1% | D+47.1 | D+31.3 |
| 1960 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.8 | R+9.0 |
| 1956 | 61.9% | 37.1% | D+24.8 | D+2.5 |
| 1952 | 61.1% | 38.8% | D+22.3 | R+16.8 |
| 1948 | 68.7% | 29.7% | D+39.0 | — |
What defines Nicholas?
Nicholas has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.0% margin
- Shifted 24.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections