Warren County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 7.1% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 9.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.9% | 61.6% |
| Catholic | 6.9% | 16.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.3% | 15.0% |
| Other | 2.3% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 58.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+24.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+16.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+21.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+18.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+27.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.8 |
Warren, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 140,918. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+24.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.0% | 61.3% | R+24.3 | R+7.4 |
| 2020 | 40.6% | 57.4% | R+16.8 | D+7.4 |
| 2016 | 35.0% | 59.2% | R+24.2 | R+2.3 |
| 2012 | 38.3% | 60.1% | R+21.8 | R+3.0 |
| 2008 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+18.9 | D+8.3 |
| 2004 | 36.1% | 63.2% | R+27.1 | R+2.7 |
| 2000 | 36.9% | 61.4% | R+24.4 | R+10.3 |
| 1996 | 39.6% | 53.7% | R+14.1 | R+3.3 |
| 1992 | 38.6% | 49.3% | R+10.8 | D+15.7 |
| 1988 | 36.6% | 63.1% | R+26.5 | D+7.5 |
| 1984 | 32.8% | 66.9% | R+34.0 | R+22.8 |
| 1980 | 42.7% | 53.9% | R+11.2 | R+12.4 |
| 1976 | 50.1% | 48.9% | D+1.1 | D+36.2 |
| 1972 | 31.7% | 66.8% | R+35.0 | R+18.7 |
| 1968 | 29.4% | 45.8% | R+16.3 | R+41.4 |
| 1964 | 62.5% | 37.4% | D+25.1 | D+34.9 |
| 1960 | 45.1% | 54.9% | R+9.8 | R+3.4 |
| 1956 | 46.7% | 53.1% | R+6.4 | R+5.3 |
| 1952 | 49.3% | 50.4% | R+1.1 | R+26.6 |
| 1948 | 60.5% | 35.0% | D+25.5 | — |
What defines Warren?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 24.3% margin
- Swung 7.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024